Tag Archives: forecasts

Seasonal fire climate outlooks available again

The first of the monthly seasonal fire danger outlooks for 2019/20 are now available, with the outlooks for each of the North and South Islands for December – February now available. These provide a heads-up on how fire danger conditions … Continue reading

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March seasonal fire climate outlooks now available

The seasonal outlooks of fire danger conditions for March-May 2019 are now available. This includes reports for each of the North and South Islands, as well as graphs of trends in fire danger conditions for weather stations in each region. … Continue reading

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Latest Tasman fire – predictions of what might have happened

Predictions of potential fire growth made by Scion’s fire team have been used to illustrate what could have happened during the latest Tasman forest fire. Veronica Clifford modelled potential fire growth using the Prometheus fire simulation model. One of her … Continue reading

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February seasonal fire climate outlooks available

Seasonal outlooks of fire danger conditions for Feb-Apr 2019 are now available. This includes reports for each of the North and South Islands, as well as graphs of trends in fire danger conditions for weather stations in each region. The … Continue reading

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Nelson fire smoke forecast for Tuesday to Thursday

Scion has produced a further smoke model forecast for Tuesday (12th) through to Thursday (14th Feb.) for the Pigeon Valley forest fire near Wakefield, Nelson. Despite the fire being contained, large areas of fire activity and smouldering remain. Smoke hazard … Continue reading

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Latest Nelson fire smoke forecast

An updated smoke forecast has been produced for the Pigeon Valley fire near Nelson showing predicted smoke dispersion for today (Friday 8th) and tomorrow (Saturday 9th). This shows potential, if fire activity continues, for smoke hazard to impact Motueka and … Continue reading

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New smoke forecast for still active Nelson forest fire

The Pigeon Valley fire near Wakefield remains active, so a further smoke forecast has been produced. This latest forecast indicates smoke dispersion for overnight Thursday (7th) and Friday 8th February, and the influence of changing wind direction. If the latest flare-up … Continue reading

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Updated smoke forecast for Nelson fire

A second smoke forecast has been produced for the Pigeon Valley forest fire near Wakefield, Nelson. This provides an indication of where the smoke may go today and tomorrow. The smoke model run is for the fire burning in heavy … Continue reading

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Extreme fire dangers forecast next week

The latest weekly Fire Danger Forecast has just been produced. This warns of Very High and Extreme fire dangers in many areas of NZ during the coming week. Extended periods of very hot and dry weather over the past two … Continue reading

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TVNZ weekly fire danger forecasts recommenced

Scion’s Rural Fire Research team has again begun producing weekly fire danger forecasts for airing on TVNZ’s 1News. The first forecasts aired last Friday and Saturday night (11th & 12th January) as part of the 1News weather bulletin, featuring just … Continue reading

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