The April 2020 seasonal fire danger outlooks have just been produced, with the outlooks now available for each of the North and South Islands for the April – June period.
These outlooks provide a heads-up on how fire danger conditions are tracking in different parts of the country as we transition through autumn.
The outlooks indicate that while the change of seasons means fire danger levels are declining in some areas, the risk of wildfires remains high in other regions due to continued drought conditions. Areas to keep an eye on for elevated fire risk include: the Far North, Auckland, Coromandel, Hawkes Bay and parts of coastal Manawatu-Whanganui in the North Island; and Nelson, Marlborough, Canterbury and central Otago in the South Island.
Over the next three months, air pressure is expected to be lower than normal, with the country being exposed to westerly air flows, fronts and temperature changes. Temperatures are likely to be above average or near average for most of New Zealand. Cold snaps and frosts are also likely to occur as we move into winter. Rainfall is most likely to be near normal or below normal in the north and east of both islands, and near normal or above normal for western areas.
For those wanting to better understand current conditions in their patch, graphs comparing fire dangers (DC, BUI and CDSR) for individual weather station locations are also available.