Seasonal outlooks of fire danger conditions for Feb-Apr 2019 are now available.
This includes reports for each of the North and South Islands, as well as graphs of trends in fire danger conditions for weather stations in each region.
The outlooks show current fire dangers and fire climate severity are High to Very High for many areas of the North Island, and Very High to Extreme in many parts of the South Island. With warmer than normal sea temperatures around NZ, and February typically the hottest month of the year, warmer and drier conditions are forecasted for most areas in February. This will see vegetation and soil moisture levels continuing to dry out, further elevating fire risk, and contributing to deeper burning and faster moving fires. In general, fire danger and fire climate severity are expected to peak in February and March for northern and eastern locations, but could even extend in to April/May.
In addition, the Scion team continues to produce weekly fire danger forecasts, released each Friday morning.